Comments on: Two loveable rogues say “Game is on”!

By: lprent

lprent — Mon, 13 Oct 2008 04:34:06 +0000

I think that 08wire wrote the almost definitive description of the Colmar-Brunton poll

http://08wire.org/2008/10/08/colmar-brunton-poll-better-but-still-biased/

Personally I’ve ignored it for decades as it is always wacky. There is still something seriously wrong with their polling techniques.

By: lprent

lprent — Mon, 13 Oct 2008 04:32:06 +0000

I think that 08wire wrote the almost definitive description of the Colmar-Brunton poll

http://08wire.org/2008/10/08/colmar-brunton-poll-better-but-still-biased/

Personally I’ve ignored it for decades as it is always wacky. There is still something seriously wrong with their polling techniques.

By: toms

toms — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 07:36:35 +0000

A split in National wouldn’t be so bad under MMP – remember, the party was formed by a merger between two parties for FPP conditions. Maybe a socially conservative, small “t” tory “National Country Party” under Bill English could even complement a private enterprise urban liberal party that might re-embrace the likes of Katherine Rich?

By: MikeG

MikeG — Sun, 12 Oct 2008 01:37:39 +0000

macdoc – I agree with some of what you say, but there’s 2 sides to a Labour 4th term. How would National cope with a 4th term in opposition? A split between the centre and the right (with the right going of to join ACT)?
Another leader? Purging of the likes of Williamson, Ryall, Smith L, Smith N, English…

By: macdoctor01

macdoctor01 — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 10:13:52 +0000

I have already predicted in an older post here that, if Labour squeak in with a 4th term, it will be the end of them. They have a good chance of a quick return if they are in opposition during the current crisis. Another three years in power, with deficits far larger than the ones predicted and unemployment through the roof, they will be total toast. It will take the left a couple of decades to recover.

It is the strength of the left that is minimising National’s tendency to run ACT-like policy. A weak left-wing opposition will have ACT exerting as much influence in National as the greens do in Labour.

You better pray they lose this one, mate!

Hell, MacDoc, all I said is “Game on”. Haven’t predicted a left victory.

By: outofbed

outofbed — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 02:50:07 +0000

The TV1 poll just about to come out is pretty much n line with the last TV1 poll and shows little drop for National.
I think that there is much discussion going on at TV1 as to what’s happening with their polling being so out of step.

Aw, outofstep, let us revel in these polls for just a couple of days.

By: Stephen

Stephen — Sat, 11 Oct 2008 00:59:38 +0000

Oddly, the TV3 one has National falling since June-July?!

By: showmethetaxcut

showmethetaxcut — Fri, 10 Oct 2008 09:38:05 +0000

It is only your opinion that the tax package was bungled. In my view, it was about right. Those who got nothing do not pay tax anyway due to working for welfare.

As for safety, no-one on the 33% tax rate ought to feel safe with Michael Cullen after the election.

I cannot believe anyone can take glee out of the prospect of Labour getting a fourth term. Bloody sadists.

If Labour get a fourth term, those who can will leave and it will be doom and gloom for those who have to stay.

I predict a most unhappy term of government under Labour. But it will not hurt me so they are welcome to it.